Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.010732 0.013004 0.015863 0.019816 0.025290 0.032855 0.044596
2024-10-27 0.008332 0.011030 0.014909 0.021226 0.032008 0.051465 0.095117
2024-11-03 0.007166 0.010062 0.014633 0.023043 0.040096 0.079662 0.215672
2024-11-10 0.006415 0.009428 0.014547 0.024994 0.049809 0.124703 0.583172
2024-11-17 0.005620 0.008512 0.013674 0.025008 0.055351 0.170018 1.552683
2024-11-24 0.004969 0.007701 0.012767 0.024556 0.059476 0.222593 5.330227
2024-12-01 0.004318 0.006778 0.011439 0.022657 0.057972 0.247595 16.388226
2024-12-08 0.003856 0.006131 0.010536 0.021511 0.058366 0.290474 203.013881
2024-12-15 0.003560 0.005748 0.010100 0.021425 0.062773 0.389824 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003361 0.005520 0.009948 0.022055 0.070954 0.600449 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003153 0.005249 0.009649 0.022174 0.077266 0.890490 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002903 0.004868 0.009043 0.021184 0.077166 1.080257 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002695 0.004575 0.008658 0.020995 0.083040 1.764551 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002594 0.004491 0.008760 0.022505 0.103127 6.162023 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002519 0.004448 0.008952 0.024478 0.133349 100.015362 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002449 0.004407 0.009142 0.026603 0.175313 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002311 0.004200 0.008850 0.026618 0.195676 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002173 0.003977 0.008475 0.026125 0.209182 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002002 0.003663 0.007806 0.024058 0.192529 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001870 0.003430 0.007338 0.022813 0.188273 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001783 0.003294 0.007128 0.022719 0.205593 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001725 0.003218 0.007079 0.023403 0.244406 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001657 0.003113 0.006930 0.023533 0.274875 NaN NaN